Schuyler, John

Risk and decision analysis in projects - Second Edition - Newtown Square: Project Management Institute, 2001 - 259 páginas; 25.5 cm.

Incluye, tablas, gráficos, imágenes.

Introduction to risk and decision analysis.—
Risk and decision analysis.—
Decision analysis process.—
Decision policy.—
Utility and Multi-Criteria Decisions.—
Decision trees.—
Value of information.—
Monte Carlo simulation.—
Project Risk management by the numbers
Modelling and inputs:
Modeling Techniques.—
Probability distribution types.—
Judgments and biases.—
Relating risks.—
Stochastic variance.—
Special topics:
Exploiting the best of critical chain and Monte Carlo simulation.—
Optimizing project plan decisions.—
Probability rules.—
Expert systems in project management.—
Summary of methods.—
Decision analysis software.—



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